Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046237 0.050301 0.054416 0.058890 0.063609 0.068433 0.073728
2025-06-29 0.039846 0.045698 0.051831 0.058714 0.066197 0.074061 0.082928
2025-07-06 0.036181 0.043449 0.051292 0.060330 0.070400 0.081223 0.093678
2025-07-13 0.031861 0.040013 0.049062 0.059751 0.071932 0.085286 0.100936
2025-07-20 0.028715 0.037584 0.047685 0.059882 0.074057 0.089864 0.108674
2025-07-27 0.026507 0.036025 0.047117 0.060776 0.076920 0.095187 0.117206
2025-08-03 0.024908 0.035039 0.047093 0.062195 0.080312 0.101070 0.126365
2025-08-10 0.021774 0.031921 0.044296 0.060114 0.079416 0.101844 0.129513
2025-08-17 0.019749 0.030049 0.042890 0.059594 0.080276 0.104599 0.134911
2025-08-24 0.017928 0.028307 0.041529 0.059021 0.080983 0.107102 0.139966
2025-08-31 0.017256 0.028039 0.042005 0.060721 0.084463 0.112936 0.149013
2025-09-07 0.016418 0.027480 0.042053 0.061836 0.087193 0.117856 0.156975
2025-09-14 0.015412 0.026652 0.041738 0.062503 0.089413 0.122237 0.164418
2025-09-21 0.014277 0.025567 0.041019 0.062599 0.090883 0.125692 0.170750
2025-09-28 0.013843 0.025472 0.041627 0.064439 0.094593 0.131948 0.180564
2025-10-05 0.012656 0.024174 0.040507 0.063913 0.095207 0.134314 0.185570
2025-10-12 0.011791 0.023305 0.039939 0.064093 0.096710 0.137782 0.191946
2025-10-19 0.011232 0.022872 0.039960 0.065053 0.099223 0.142529 0.199930
2025-10-26 0.010869 0.022725 0.040377 0.066551 0.102455 0.148204 0.209110
2025-11-02 0.009520 0.020879 0.038220 0.064378 0.100714 0.147454 0.210145
2025-11-09 0.008711 0.019869 0.037253 0.063837 0.101133 0.149463 0.214662
2025-11-16 0.007952 0.018884 0.036276 0.063238 0.101439 0.151301 0.218950
2025-11-23 0.007803 0.018969 0.036942 0.065021 0.105024 0.157448 0.228796